9 in 10 Say Iran At Least Somewhat Likely to Violate Nuclear Deal

Barack Obama and John Kerry
Barack Obama and John Kerry / APP
September 16, 2015

Nine in 10 Americans believe it is to some degree likely Iran will violate the terms of the nuclear deal brokered between Tehran and world powers in July.

CNN/ORC poll released this week indicates that 90 percent of U.S. adults think Iran is at least somewhat likely to violate the agreement, with a plurality of 37 percent deeming such a violation "extremely likely."

The lack of trust in Iran stretches across party lines. Eighty-four percent of Democrats label it at least somewhat likely Tehran will not abide by stipulations in the deal pushed by the Obama administration.

Moreover, given a violation, a strong and increasing majority of Americans--64 percent--would support the U.S. taking military action against Iran. Majorities in both political parties believe the U.S. should act militarily if Iran goes against the nuclear deal.

The poll also demonstrates that more than eight in 10 American adults believe Iran represents at least a moderately serious threat to the U.S., with a plurality of 49 percent labeling the country a "very serious threat." Americans are more threatened by Iran than North Korea or Russia.

Conducted between Sept. 4 and 8, the survey shows that President Obama’s job disapproval rating has ticked up since mid-August, in which time the president secured enough support for the deal among Senate Democrats to avoid having to veto a resolution rejecting the deal. Currently, a majority of 52 percent disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president, and a plurality "strongly" disapprove.

Americans are particularly concerned about the way the president is handling the U.S. relationship with Iran, as 59 percent disapprove of Obama’s job performance in this area. The public was split on this question in April, three months before the Obama administration announced the finalized nuclear deal.