A crucial New York Times analysis predicts that Republicans now have a 60 percent chance of controlling the Senate next year, with the most likely outcome being a 51-49 seat split following the midterm elections in November. Republican candidates have slight leads in swing states such as Michigan, Louisiana, Iowa, North Carolina, and are within striking distance in Alaska and Colorado.
MSNBC’s all-star panel of political experts, however, is far more optimistic about the Democratic Party’s chances. On “The Daily Rundown” this morning, host Chuck Todd discussed the midterm elections with the Washington Post’s Dan Balz, Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report, and Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Political Report. And while they didn’t really make any predictions, they all seemed to think that Democrats were fairly well positioned compared to their GOP opponents.