Democrats Not Ready for Hillary

Poll: Democrats' top issues are socialized medicine, repealing the 2nd Amendment

Hillary Clinton makes a concession speech after being defeated by Republican president-elect Donald Trump / Getty Images
November 14, 2018

Likely Democratic voters in primary states are not eager for a third White House run by Hillary Clinton, according to a new poll exclusively obtained by the Washington Free Beacon.

A 2020 primary survey conducted by TargetPoint Consulting revealed voter fatigue among Democrats with the two-time failed presidential candidate. The poll is the first to include Clinton among 2020 hopefuls, just as her former aides suggest she is gearing up for another presidential campaign.

The survey also reveals the top two most important issues to Democratic voters—securing single-payer health care and repeal of the Second Amendment.

Former vice president Joe Biden leads the field, but with just 29 percent of the vote. Vermont socialist Bernie Sanders is the only other candidate to crack 20 percent, while Clinton shares a distant fourth place with just 8 percent of likely voters saying they would support her in 2020. Oprah Winfrey also secured 8 percent of the vote.

Sixteen percent said they would choose to vote for a candidate not listed.

Clinton does, however, receive more support than several Democrats who are expected to run, including senators Elizabeth Warren (7 percent), Cory Booker (6 percent), and Kamala Harris (3 percent). Porn star lawyer Michael Avenatti, former secretary of state John Kerry, liberal billionaire Michael Bloomberg, and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (N.Y.) each garnered just 1 percent.

Eric Holder and former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz received negligible support.

The survey of 1,431 likely Democratic voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada was taken between Nov. 10 and Nov. 11.

Clinton fares better in head-to-head matchups, beating Avenatti by a margin of 53 to 21 percent. Clinton also would beat Bloomberg (47 to 31 percent), Harris (40 to 37 percent), Holder (39 to 37 percent), Kerry (41 to 38 percent), and Schultz (49 to 20 percent).

Clinton would lose in a Democratic primary matchup to Biden 20 to 69 percent. She would also lose to Booker (37 to 42 percent), Sanders (30 to 56 percent), Warren (34 to 42 percent), and Winfrey (37 to 41 percent).

The new polling results come as former Clinton adviser Mark Penn said Clinton "will run again," in a highly circulated op-ed published by the Wall Street Journal this week. Another former longtime aide, Philippe Reines, also hinted last month that Clinton should be considered among the 2020 candidates.

"It's curious why Hillary Clinton's name isn’t in the mix—either conversationally or in formal polling—as a 2020 candidate," Reines said.

The new TargetPoint survey found Democratic voters would revolt if Clinton did secure the nomination. Forty-five percent of early state Democratic primary voters and caucusgoers said they would defect to an independent Sanders candidacy if Clinton were the nominee.

Another 10 percent said they would vote for President Donald Trump.

Meanwhile, the survey did show Sanders's weaknesses among African-American voters. Among all African Americans, Biden led with 35 percent of the vote while Sanders polled a distant fourth with only 11 percent of the vote, trailing Winfrey (17 percent) and Clinton (12 percent).

Clinton would beat Sanders among African Americans 48 to 38 percent.

The most important issue among likely Democratic voters is moving to a single payer health care system, at 37 percent. One in five Democrats said they would support repealing the Second Amendment to enact effective gun laws, which polled second as their most important issue with 24 percent.

Support for socialized medicine was the most important issue in all four states polled.

The third-most important issue for Democrats is increasing funding for Planned Parenthood, the number one abortion provider in America, at 14 percent. Raising taxes came in fourth at 11 percent.

Relaxing immigration laws and abolishing ICE rounds out the top five priorities for Democrats, polling at 10 percent.

Thirty-four percent support restricting immigration to high skill labor, while 64 percent support allowing all immigrants regardless of skill level.

Seventy percent of likely Democratic primary voters still said there should be a presumption of innocence in sexual assault cases, while 30 percent chose "believing all women accusers" as more important.