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Charlie Cook has some bad news for the Obama campaign

MITCHELL: Charlie Cook, what about the pessimism overall about the economy that we see in this poll?

COOK: I think there's--there is an enormous amount of concern, and I think as the focus gets more and more over the political uncertainty in Washington and the fiscal cliff at the end of this year, I think it's going to add, sort of add more gloomy clouds onto the horizon. You know the fact is the president needs the economy to bounce back pretty strongly between now and November 6th, and there are a lot of signs that that’s sort of not happening. We're probably going to see the GDP figures revised next week from 2.2 down to 1.7 or 1.8. That's not going to go over well when people say, ‘Gosh, this thing’s not even going as well as we'd like,’ so I thought the polls showed just a lot of reasons why this thing is going to be just razor, razor tight, and you know what the president needs to pull away. I didn't see a lot of evidence of that in the poll. Even on the Hispanic side, I mean the president got 67 percent of the vote last time, and he's looking at 61 percent in this poll. Undecideds typically don't break towards incumbents, and as chuck said, are they going to turn out? I don't see the intensity whether you're looking at Hispanics, whether you're looking at 18 to 29-year-olds. I'm assuming the African-American community turns out, but the key legs of that stool of 2008, I don't see the intensity there this time.

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