More Than 3/4 of Republicans in Early States Considering Candidates Other Than Trump: Poll

September 27, 2023

Former president Donald Trump's commanding lead over other Republican candidates may not be as solid in the early primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire, new polling indicates.

The data, from a CBS News/YouGov survey published Tuesday, show that 79 percent of Iowa Republican caucus voters are either considering candidates other than Trump or have outright ruled out supporting the former president. Just 20 percent said they are only considering Trump.

In New Hampshire, 77 percent of Republicans said they're looking at candidates besides Trump.

The Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary, as the first two events on the Republican primary calendar, have outsized importance in the race.

While Trump's support "floor," according to CBS News, is "a bit lower" in those states than it is nationwide, the former president maintains a comfortable lead both in Iowa and New Hampshire as well as nationally. CBS News found Trump is the preferred candidate of 51 percent of Republican caucus voters in Iowa, with Florida governor Ron DeSantis far behind at 21 percent. In New Hampshire, the former president has 50 percent support to DeSantis's 13 percent.

Nationally, an average of polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight shows Trump with 55 percent support among Republicans.