Biden Down 6 Points Nationally in Latest Abysmal Poll

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May 20, 2024

A poll released Monday shows President Joe Biden’s reelection bid in dire straits, with the Democrat trailing presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump by 6 percentage points nationally.

If a presidential election were held today between Trump and Biden, 49 percent of Americans would vote for the former president, 43 percent would choose the incumbent, and 8 percent would be unsure, according to the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll conducted last week. 

Trump would also lead Biden 43 percent to 39 percent in a three-way race with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who would capture 12 percent of the vote. Just 6 percent of the 1,660 voters polled said they would be undecided.

The Monday poll is consistent with the groups’ April poll, which found Trump ahead by 5 points in both two-way and three-way races.

A New York Times poll last week showed Trump leading Biden in five of six anticipated swing states in the 2024 presidential election. The Republican candidate would lose to the incumbent in Michigan by 1 point but come out ahead in Nevada by 13 points, in Georgia by 9 points, in Arizona by 6 points, in Pennsylvania by 3 points, and in Wisconsin by 1 point.

An April poll by the Pew Research Center revealed Biden’s shrinking support among black voters, a demographic that has historically been a solid voting bloc for the Democratic Party. While 95 percent of black women and 87 percent of black men voted for Biden in the 2020 election, only 55 percent of black voters last month approved of Biden’s job performance.