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Senate Democrat: 2 to 1 Chance President Trump Doesn't Finish His Term

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May 2, 2017

A Democratic senator privately told friends he thinks it is more likely than not that President Donald Trump won't finish his first term.

Sen. Mark Warner (D., Va.) "privately told friends that he puts the odds at two to one against Trump completing a full term," the New Yorker reported in a story weighing the possibility of a Trump impeachment.

The Virginia senator is the ranking Democratic member on the Senate Intelligence Committee. In that role, Warner is in charge of overseeing the Senate investigations into the alleged ties between Russian intelligence and members of Trump's 2016 presidential campaign.

Sen. Mark Warner (D., Va.) / Getty Images

Warner's staff confirmed to the New Yorker that he made the comments. However, they claim that he was not referring "specifically to the Russia investigation, but rather the totality of challenges the president is currently facing."

While Warner was most likely speaking off the cuff, there is actually a cottage industry of political gambling sites that calculate the odds of Trump finishing his first term and when he will leave office. Las Vegas bookmaker Bovada gives Trump even odds not to finish his term.