Warner Falls Below 50 Percent in Latest Poll

Sen. Mark Warner

Mark Warner / AP

BY:

Less than half of Virginia voters think that Sen. Mark Warner (D.) deserves to be reelected, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Just 49 percent of voters say that Warner deserves reelection, compared to 36 percent that say he does not.

The poll shows Warner leading Republican challenger Ed Gillespie 46 percent to 31 percent

The poll also shows that Obamacare remains unpopular in Virginia and that Warner’s vote for the bill will be an obstacle for his reelection.

Fifty-two percent of voters say they appose the law and 45 percent of voters say that they would be less likely to vote for a candidate that supports it.

President Barack Obama also remains unpopular in the state, with 33 percent of voters saying that they would be less likely to vote for Warner if Obama campaigns with him, compared with only 15 percent saying that campaigning with Obama would make them more likely to vote for him. The remaining voters said Obama’s presence on the trail would make no difference.

Republican polling expert Glen Bolger says that Warner’s decline in Virginia is due to "national headwinds of voter frustration with the Obama administration."

"In an already-difficult year for Democrats due to those factors and more," wrote Bolger in a memo regarding the poll. "Warner’s 46 percent on the ballot is a dangerous baseline heading into the November election."

The poll is from a questionnaire of 1,288 Virginia voters reached from March 19-24.

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