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Poll: Voters in Battleground Districts Increasingly Believe GOP Tax Reform Will Cut Their Taxes

Paul Ryan / Getty Images
February 27, 2018

Polling in battleground congressional districts shows that voters increasingly believe the Republican tax reform law will cut their taxes rather than raise them.

The American Action Network, a center-right nonprofit advocacy group aligned with House Speaker Paul Ryan (R., Wis.), conducted surveys about the effects of the GOP tax overhaul in 60 congressional districts, Axios reported Tuesday.

The polling found that, in California's 21st congressional district, 23 percent of respondents said in January that the law would lower their taxes, but in February, that number increased to 29 percent. Meanwhile, 42 percent said in January that their tax rates would increase because of tax reform; that number decreased to 30 percent in February.

In Colorado's sixth district, 31 percent of respondents said in January that the tax overhaul, which President Donald Trump signed into law in December, would lower their taxes; in February, that number grew to 44 percent. The percentage of voters who said the tax plan would raise their taxes decreased from 40 percent to 27 percent over the same time period.

Other battleground districts—including New York's 24th, Pennsylvania's eighth, and Virginia's second—showed similar results.

The Remington Research Group conducted the survey for the American Action Network.

Axios noted that other recently released public polling, such as a Monmouth University poll released last month and a recent New York Times/Survey Monkey poll, showed the tax law now has more supporters than opponents.

Both Republicans and Democrats are expected to push their respective support for and opposition to the tax law in the 2018 midterm campaigns.