Goldman Sachs Downgrades Economic Growth Forecast

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 04: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on October 04, 2021 in New York City. In afternoon trading the Dow was down over 300 points as investors continue to worry about inflation, supply chain issues, and a political stalemate over the debt ceiling between Republicans and Democrats in Washington, DC. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
October 11, 2021

Goldman Sachs economists have cut their economic growth forecasts for 2021 and 2022 because of lagging consumer spending.

The economists in a Sunday note to clients blamed the downgrade on "a longer-lasting virus drag on virus-sensitive consumer services spending," a decreased financial stimulus, and a shortage in semiconductors, MarketWatch reported.

China, which has recently threatened Taiwan and the United States, has significant control over the global semiconductor industry.

The forecast predicts economic growth of 5.6 percent in 2021, down from 5.7 percent, and 4 percent growth in 2022, down from 4.4 percent. The economists have upgraded their 2023 and 2024 forecasts, however, which they say offset the downturn.

The researchers said consumer spending is unlikely to reach pre-pandemic levels by next year.

The Goldman forecast is only the latest piece of troubling economic news for the Biden administration, which already faces an inflation spike, the highest gas prices in six years, and the worst unemployment numbers in a year.